I was so excited by learning how to embed R code in my blogpost on Monday that I didn’t explain the motivation behind my post very well đ Recently a lot of âflatten the curveâ graphics have been doing the rounds recently on Twitter. This is a typical example which is presented and explained in…
This is mostly an excuse to publish a blogpost using Rmarkdown. This is a system for combining R code in a âmarkdownâ text document which can be readily compiled into html or pdf etc and also automatically published on WordPress which hosts the Blueskiesresearch blog. One slight problem Iâve not been able to solve is…
A while ago Mark (leader of the top secret project we are involved in) suggested that it had been a while since we visited the Met Office in Exeter where he works (blog tells me it was exactly 5 years ago, shortly after we had returned to the UK and before Blue Skies Research was really…
Another new manuscript of ours out for review, this time on ESDD. The topic is as the title suggests. This work grew out of our trips to Hamburg and later Stockholm though it wasn’t really the original purpose of our collaboration. However, we were already working with a simple climate model and the 20th century temperature…
Way back in the mists of time, we did a little bit of work on âemergent constraintsâ. This is a slightly hackneyed term referring to the use of a correlation across an ensemble of models between something we can’t measure but want to estimate (like the equilibrium climate sensitivity S) and something that we can…
Science has been done and papers written! Deadlines have been met! And not by the Govt’s imaginative strategy of declaring that the deadlines no longer exist, as they are doing with NHS waiting times. Though that did seem like an appealing strategy at some points. I will blog about some of it over the next…
There’s a new book just out âContemporary Climate Change Debates: A Student Primerâ edited by Mike Hulme. I contributed a short essay arguing the negative side of the above question. It was originally intended to be âWill exceeding 2C of warming lock the world onto a âHothouse Earthâ trajectory?â but no-one could be found to…
I believe the title of the post proclaims me to be an Estonian e-resident. jules likewise. This marks the culmination of a very straightforward on-line process which was remarkably painless right up to the moment that we had to attend the Estonian Embassy in London to pick up our identity cards in person, at which…
De mortuis nil nisi bonum and all that, but I realise I only wrote this down in a very abbreviated and perhaps unclear form many years ago, in fact prior to publication of the paper it concerns. I was sad to hear of his untimely death and especially by suicide when he surely had much to…
OK, it’s answer time for these questions. First, a little background. This is the paper, or rather, here it is to download. The questions were asked of over 100 psychology researchers and 400 students and virtually none of them got all the answers right, with more wrong than right answers overall. The questions were modelled…
